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Instrument 04 · weekly

Catalyst Probability Matrix

Upcoming events that can move the theme — earnings, compute-futures milestones, sovereign programme deadlines, state moratorium bills — each with an analyst-set probability and impact, revised with a dated note.

HEADLINE READING

3Compute Terminal Catalyst CalendarAs of 14 Oct 2026Source

events in the next 30 days · as of 14 Oct 2026

Headline readings are public to every visitor.

CADENCE
Weekly
INPUTS
Catalyst calendar, analyst assessments
OUTPUT
Matrix of probability against impact
ACCESS
Calendar for all tiers; matrix Plus and Pro

Method

  1. Every catalyst row carries a source link; probability and impact edits carry a dated note in the revision log.

Caveats

  • Probabilities are analyst judgements, published as such.

Revision log

No method changes since launch.

Every change to this method will be dated and recorded here.

Methodology published by Compute Terminal. Not investment advice.